Thread: Covid 19 -
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Old 04-12-2020, 10:08 PM   #8063
MITCHAY
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Canberra
Posts: 13,334
Default Re: Covid 19 -

Yep Russ that is exactly what I was thinking. The huge rise in cases will in the short term lower the CMR but given that it has been a few weeks of the huge cases it was still surprising to see it keep dropping.

For every 100k cases you can expect the best case 1k deaths and probably 3-4k deaths at worst case based on what we know.

Given that they are filling up hospitals pretty quick, it's more likely to be on the worse side.

Last edited by MITCHAY; 04-12-2020 at 10:37 PM. Reason: My math was off
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