Quote:
Originally Posted by EgoFG
The thing is that these percentages are not real as we do not know how many people have had it.
Sweden appears to be near herd immunity with 85,000 cases in 10,000,000 people, but WHO says herd immunity would likely be %60-%80 infected.
Extrapolating those numbers, for every reported case there would be 70 - 90 unreported cases.
If this can then be projected to Germany (very small sample size BTW) then -
This is almost 2 orders of magnitude error in those percentages in the first link above, ie when it says %78 it would be in reality 0.9% - 1.1%
Please feel free to re-examine the numbers.
Even if the heard immunity is off, and is really under 50%, then it means the virus is not very virile.
Again, this is why I said Sweden was interesting
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Not sure what you are getting at EgoFG?
The 'Sweden response'; has not achieved herd immunity, has not change the economic position of Sweden compared to its neighbours, but has killed way more people.
What is interesting about that?
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_relea...-chi081020.php
'Sweden's policy of allowing the controlled spread of Covid-19 viral infection among the population has so far failed to deliver the country's previously stated goal of herd immunity.'
Suggesting the 'Sweden response' could be applied in other countries fundamentally misinterprets what is at the core of the strategy.
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/ful...41076820945282
'itself a very ‘Swedish’ strategy, integrating the sociocultural concept of ‘folkvett’; the common sense of the people as a collective'.